iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Voca#67 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientM80 ban
50%67%
M80 · 8 mapsedge Voca +17%Voca · 11 maps
Dust2Voca pick
45%85%
M80 · 7 mapsedge Voca +40%Voca · 9 maps
CacheM80 pick
73%36%
M80 · 7 mapsedge M80 +37%Voca · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%80%
M80 · 8 mapsedge Voca +30%Voca · 6 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%50%
M80 · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Voca · 0 maps
AnubisVoca ban
50%50%
M80 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Voca · 4 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%40%
M80 · 0 mapsedge M80 +10%Voca · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanVoca remove Inferno
3. PickM80 take Cache
4. PickVoca take Dust2
5. BanVoca remove Anubis
6. BanM80 remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 80%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
M80 31%Voca 69%
The model gave 69% on Voca — the map was taken by M80.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
M80 84%Voca 16%
The model gave 84% on M80 — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 82%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2