iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheM80 pick
58%75%
Liquid · 8 mapsedge M80 +17%M80 · 8 maps
Dust2M80 ban
45%45%
Liquid · 7 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
75%50%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Liquid +25%M80 · 10 maps
MirageLiquid ban
70%50%
Liquid · 6 mapsedge Liquid +20%M80 · 8 maps
AnubisLiquid pick
64%50%
Liquid · 10 mapsedge Liquid +14%M80 · 2 maps
NukeM80 ban
60%50%
Liquid · 11 mapsedge Liquid +10%M80 · 0 maps
AncientLiquid ban
40%54%
Liquid · 1 mapedge M80 +14%M80 · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Ancient
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. PickLiquid take Anubis
4. PickM80 take Cache
5. BanM80 remove Dust2
6. BanLiquid remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (75% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed16:13
Liquid 29%M80 71%
The model gave 71% on M80 — the map was taken by Liquid.
Anubisprediction correct13:2
Liquid 67%M80 33%
The model gave 67% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 57%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2