Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Falcons Force#152 in the worldseries probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Endless Journey#170 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force pick
58%56%
Falcons Force · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Endless Journey · 12 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
29%71%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsedge Endless Journey +42%Endless Journey · 10 maps
InfernoFalcons Force ban
44%40%
Falcons Force · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Endless Journey · 6 maps
NukeEndless Journey pick
25%50%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +25%Endless Journey · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%33%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%Endless Journey · 5 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
40%38%
Falcons Force · 1 mapnearly even +2%Endless Journey · 4 maps
CacheEndless Journey ban
75%40%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +35%Endless Journey · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanEndless Journey remove Cache
3. PickFalcons Force take Mirage
4. PickEndless Journey take Nuke
5. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 33%)