BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ODDIK Academy#233 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ODDIK Academy ban
43%40%
Procyon · 10 mapsnearly even +3%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
MirageODDIK Academy pick
45%50%
Procyon · 7 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +5%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
AncientProcyon ban
38%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +12%ODDIK Academy · 2 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
63%40%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge Procyon +23%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
NukeODDIK Academy ban
25%50%
Procyon · 4 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +25%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
33%40%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +7%ODDIK Academy · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Procyon · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanODDIK Academy remove Nuke
3. PickProcyon take Inferno
4. PickODDIK Academy take Mirage
5. BanODDIK Academy remove Dust2
6. BanProcyon remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Procyon 40%ODDIK Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on ODDIK Academy — the map was taken by Procyon.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
Procyon 48%ODDIK Academy 52%
The model gave 52% on ODDIK Academy — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 55%
Series resultProcyon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2