Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJiJieHao pick
50%64%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +14%JiJieHao · 10 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%67%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +17%JiJieHao · 8 maps
MirageSangal ban
40%67%
Sangal · 1 mapedge JiJieHao +27%JiJieHao · 5 maps
Dust2JiJieHao ban
50%22%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Sangal +28%JiJieHao · 5 maps
AnubisSangal pick
50%50%
Sangal · 2 mapsnearly even +0%JiJieHao · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%50%
Sangal · 1 mapedge Sangal +10%JiJieHao · 2 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%40%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Sangal +10%JiJieHao · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Inferno
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. PickSangal take Anubis
4. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
5. BanJiJieHao remove Dust2
6. BanSangal remove Mirage
DeciderCache (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Sangal 53%JiJieHao 47%
The model gave 53% on Sangal — the map was taken by Sangal.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Sangal 23%JiJieHao 77%
The model gave 77% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
Sangal 78%JiJieHao 22%
The model gave 78% on Sangal — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 60%
Series resultJiJieHao 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3