BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Isurus#186 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
50%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 14 mapsedge Isurus +17%Isurus · 14 maps
AncientIsurus ban
58%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 8 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +8%Isurus · 8 maps
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves ban
33%46%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge Isurus +13%Isurus · 9 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
22%54%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge Isurus +32%Isurus · 9 maps
NukeIsurus ban
44%46%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsnearly even -2%Isurus · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
44%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge Isurus +23%Isurus · 2 maps
CacheIsurus pick
33%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge Isurus +34%Isurus · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanIsurus remove Ancient
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickIsurus take Cache
5. BanIsurus remove Nuke
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (44% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
METANOIA Wolves 29%Isurus 71%
The model gave 71% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 64%
Series resultIsurus 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1