CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HAVU ban
64%40%
Black Phoenix · 18 mapsedge Black Phoenix +24%HAVU · 6 maps
NukeHAVU pick
47%77%
Black Phoenix · 11 mapsedge HAVU +30%HAVU · 9 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
41%50%
Black Phoenix · 13 mapsedge HAVU +9%HAVU · 6 maps
InfernoHAVU ban
58%57%
Black Phoenix · 8 mapsnearly even +1%HAVU · 3 maps
CacheBlack Phoenix pick
64%29%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge Black Phoenix +35%HAVU · 3 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
18%40%
Black Phoenix · 7 mapsedge HAVU +22%HAVU · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
Black Phoenix · 4 mapsedge HAVU +10%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
2. BanHAVU remove Dust2
3. PickBlack Phoenix take Cache
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Inferno
6. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Black Phoenix 19%HAVU 81%
The model gave 81% on HAVU — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Black Phoenix 75%HAVU 25%
The model gave 75% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 57%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2