CROSSFIRE Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Villainous#198 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zomblers#197 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoZomblers pick
46%54%
Villainous · 9 mapsedge Zomblers +8%Zomblers · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
36%50%
Villainous · 10 mapsedge Zomblers +14%Zomblers · 4 maps
AnubisVillainous pick
50%40%
Villainous · 10 mapsedge Villainous +10%Zomblers · 1 map
Dust2Villainous ban
50%44%
Villainous · 4 mapsedge Villainous +6%Zomblers · 5 maps
AncientVillainous ban
25%67%
Villainous · 4 mapsedge Zomblers +42%Zomblers · 2 maps
NukeZomblers ban
60%43%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Villainous +17%Zomblers · 3 maps
CacheZomblers ban
50%50%
Villainous · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Zomblers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVillainous remove Ancient
2. BanZomblers remove Cache
3. PickVillainous take Anubis
4. PickZomblers take Inferno
5. BanZomblers remove Nuke
6. BanVillainous remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (36% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:1
Villainous 64%Zomblers 36%
The model gave 64% on Villainous — the map was taken by Villainous.
Anubisprediction correct13:1
Villainous 63%Zomblers 37%
The model gave 63% on Villainous — the map was taken by Villainous.
Model check result
Model favoriteVillainous · 50%
Series resultVillainous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2