Circuit X BLAST Open Porto 2026 North America Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Voca#67 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2M80 ban
56%62%
M80 · 5 mapsedge Voca +6%Voca · 9 maps
MirageM80 pick
58%56%
M80 · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Voca · 5 maps
AncientM80 ban
42%71%
M80 · 8 mapsedge Voca +29%Voca · 3 maps
InfernoVoca ban
53%50%
M80 · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Voca · 0 maps
OverpassVoca pick
40%50%
M80 · 1 mapedge Voca +10%Voca · 6 maps
AnubisVoca ban
50%40%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +10%Voca · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
67%60%
M80 · 2 mapsedge M80 +7%Voca · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Ancient
2. BanVoca remove Inferno
3. PickM80 take Mirage
4. PickVoca take Overpass
5. BanVoca remove Anubis
6. BanM80 remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
M80 20%Voca 80%
The model gave 80% on Voca — the map was taken by M80.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
M80 53%Voca 47%
The model gave 53% on M80 — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 85%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2