GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The MongolZ Academyloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoTYLOO pick
61%50%
TYLOO · 14 mapsedge TYLOO +11%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
MirageThe MongolZ Academy ban
71%50%
TYLOO · 13 mapsedge TYLOO +21%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
AncientTYLOO ban
40%50%
TYLOO · 11 mapsedge The MongolZ Academy +10%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
57%50%
TYLOO · 10 mapsedge TYLOO +7%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
OverpassThe MongolZ Academy pick
50%50%
TYLOO · 8 mapsnearly even +0%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
AnubisThe MongolZ Academy ban
71%50%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +21%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%50%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge TYLOO +10%The MongolZ Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
2. BanThe MongolZ Academy remove Anubis
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickThe MongolZ Academy take Overpass
5. BanThe MongolZ Academy remove Mirage
6. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
DeciderCache (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
TYLOO 37%The MongolZ Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on The MongolZ Academy — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Mirageprediction correct13:1
TYLOO 73%The MongolZ Academy 27%
The model gave 73% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 90%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2