CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PURE#126 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren ban
50%63%
mellren · 0 mapsedge PURE +13%PURE · 4 maps
NukePURE pick
50%50%
mellren · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PURE · 4 maps
Anubismellren pick
50%29%
mellren · 0 mapsedge mellren +21%PURE · 3 maps
Dust2mellren ban
50%33%
mellren · 0 mapsedge mellren +17%PURE · 2 maps
InfernoPURE ban
50%33%
mellren · 0 mapsedge mellren +17%PURE · 2 maps
AncientPURE ban
50%60%
mellren · 0 mapsedge PURE +10%PURE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Mirage
2. BanPURE remove Inferno
3. Pickmellren take Anubis
4. PickPURE take Nuke
5. BanPURE remove Ancient
6. Banmellren remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
mellren 35%PURE 65%
The model gave 65% on PURE — the map was taken by mellren.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
mellren 43%PURE 57%
The model gave 57% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
mellren 67%PURE 33%
The model gave 67% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoritePURE · 63%
Series resultmellren 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3