Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
65%41%
UNO MILLE · 16 mapsedge UNO MILLE +24%paiN Academy · 13 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
44%44%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%60%
UNO MILLE · 10 mapsnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 6 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
60%64%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsnearly even -4%paiN Academy · 7 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
64%40%
UNO MILLE · 7 mapsedge UNO MILLE +24%paiN Academy · 6 maps
OverpasspaiN Academy ban
58%43%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +15%paiN Academy · 3 maps
DefaultUNO MILLE ban
43%57%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%paiN Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Overpass
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Default
DeciderInferno (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
UNO MILLE 43%paiN Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
UNO MILLE 53%paiN Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 66%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2