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CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LP#107 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Imperial pick
62%59%
Imperial · 9 mapsnearly even +3%LP · 13 maps
InfernoLP pick
64%72%
Imperial · 7 mapsedge LP +8%LP · 14 maps
MirageLP ban
55%54%
Imperial · 7 mapsnearly even +1%LP · 9 maps
AncientImperial ban
50%59%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge LP +9%LP · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
63%69%
Imperial · 4 mapsedge LP +6%LP · 9 maps
OverpassImperial ban
50%44%
Imperial · 2 mapsedge Imperial +6%LP · 5 maps
AnubisLP ban
56%50%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +6%LP · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanLP remove Anubis
3. PickImperial take Dust2
4. PickLP take Inferno
5. BanLP remove Mirage
6. BanImperial remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (63% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Imperial 54%LP 46%
The model gave 54% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction missed13:1
Imperial 37%LP 63%
The model gave 63% on LP — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 72%
Series resultImperial 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2