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CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bounty Hunters#74 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fluxo#56 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
59%50%
Bounty Hunters · 18 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +9%Fluxo · 8 maps
AncientFluxo ban
60%29%
Bounty Hunters · 16 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +31%Fluxo · 3 maps
NukeBounty Hunters pick
75%63%
Bounty Hunters · 12 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Fluxo · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
59%67%
Bounty Hunters · 13 mapsedge Fluxo +8%Fluxo · 2 maps
AnubisFluxo pick
44%50%
Bounty Hunters · 5 mapsedge Fluxo +6%Fluxo · 4 maps
InfernoBounty Hunters ban
50%38%
Bounty Hunters · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +12%Fluxo · 4 maps
OverpassFluxo ban
43%50%
Bounty Hunters · 3 mapsedge Fluxo +7%Fluxo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBounty Hunters remove Inferno
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickBounty Hunters take Nuke
4. PickFluxo take Anubis
5. BanFluxo remove Overpass
6. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (59% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
Bounty Hunters 45%Fluxo 55%
The model gave 55% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Bounty Hunters 42%Fluxo 58%
The model gave 58% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Bounty Hunters 64%Fluxo 36%
The model gave 64% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Bounty Hunters.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 51%
Series resultBounty Hunters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3