CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fluxo ban
60%45%
Patins da Ferrari · 1 mapedge Patins da Ferrari +15%Fluxo · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
43%57%
Patins da Ferrari · 3 mapsedge Fluxo +14%Fluxo · 3 maps
AncientFluxo ban
67%29%
Patins da Ferrari · 2 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +38%Fluxo · 3 maps
AnubisPatins da Ferrari ban
50%50%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 4 maps
InfernoPatins da Ferrari ban
50%38%
Patins da Ferrari · 0 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +12%Fluxo · 4 maps
MiragePatins da Ferrari pick
67%67%
Patins da Ferrari · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 2 maps
DefaultFluxo pick
60%50%
Patins da Ferrari · 1 mapedge Patins da Ferrari +10%Fluxo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Inferno
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickPatins da Ferrari take Mirage
4. PickFluxo take Default
5. BanFluxo remove Dust2
6. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (43% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Patins da Ferrari 33%Fluxo 67%
The model gave 67% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Patins da Ferrari 67%Fluxo 33%
The model gave 67% on Patins da Ferrari — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 61%
Series resultFluxo 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2