CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yawara#156 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
53%68%
Isurus · 13 mapsedge Yawara +15%Yawara · 15 maps
MirageYawara pick
55%71%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge Yawara +16%Yawara · 13 maps
AncientYawara ban
50%40%
Isurus · 8 mapsedge Isurus +10%Yawara · 11 maps
InfernoIsurus ban
44%50%
Isurus · 5 mapsedge Yawara +6%Yawara · 6 maps
AnubisIsurus ban
50%44%
Isurus · 0 mapsedge Isurus +6%Yawara · 5 maps
OverpassYawara ban
43%67%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Yawara +24%Yawara · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge Isurus +11%Yawara · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Anubis
2. BanYawara remove Overpass
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Mirage
5. BanYawara remove Ancient
6. BanIsurus remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Isurus 37%Yawara 63%
The model gave 63% on Yawara — the map was taken by Isurus.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Isurus 31%Yawara 69%
The model gave 69% on Yawara — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 70%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2