CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALKA#129 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MAGICOSloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMAGICOS pick
57%33%
ALKA · 3 mapsedge ALKA +24%MAGICOS · 2 maps
MirageMAGICOS ban
50%60%
ALKA · 4 mapsedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 1 map
Dust2possible decider
57%60%
ALKA · 3 mapsnearly even -3%MAGICOS · 1 map
NukeMAGICOS ban
63%50%
ALKA · 4 mapsedge ALKA +13%MAGICOS · 0 maps
AncientALKA pick
67%40%
ALKA · 2 mapsedge ALKA +27%MAGICOS · 1 map
DefaultALKA ban
40%50%
ALKA · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 2 maps
AnubisALKA ban
40%50%
ALKA · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanALKA remove Anubis
2. BanMAGICOS remove Nuke
3. PickALKA take Ancient
4. PickMAGICOS take Inferno
5. BanMAGICOS remove Mirage
6. BanALKA remove Default
DeciderDust2 (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
ALKA 73%MAGICOS 27%
The model gave 73% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
ALKA 50%MAGICOS 50%
The model gave 50% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 61%
Series resultALKA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2