NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
66%40%
GenOne · 43 mapsedge GenOne +26%Nordic Partners · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
56%33%
GenOne · 30 mapsedge GenOne +23%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
NukeNordic Partners ban
55%40%
GenOne · 18 mapsedge GenOne +15%Nordic Partners · 1 map
InfernoGenOne ban
45%33%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge GenOne +12%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
71%63%
GenOne · 13 mapsedge GenOne +8%Nordic Partners · 4 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
36%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge Nordic Partners +14%Nordic Partners · 0 maps
CacheNordic Partners pick
44%40%
GenOne · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Nordic Partners · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Overpass
2. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
3. PickGenOne take Anubis
4. PickNordic Partners take Cache
5. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
6. BanGenOne remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (56% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct16:12
GenOne 56%Nordic Partners 44%
The model gave 56% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
GenOne 77%Nordic Partners 23%
The model gave 77% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 83%
Series resultGenOne 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2