CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GUARA#234 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMIBR Academy pick
62%30%
MIBR Academy · 9 mapsedge MIBR Academy +32%GUARA · 6 maps
Dust2GUARA ban
33%27%
MIBR Academy · 5 mapsedge MIBR Academy +6%GUARA · 7 maps
AncientGUARA ban
46%40%
MIBR Academy · 9 mapsedge MIBR Academy +6%GUARA · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
55%43%
MIBR Academy · 7 mapsedge MIBR Academy +12%GUARA · 3 maps
DefaultGUARA pick
71%67%
MIBR Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +4%GUARA · 2 maps
InfernoMIBR Academy ban
50%25%
MIBR Academy · 0 mapsedge MIBR Academy +25%GUARA · 4 maps
OverpassMIBR Academy ban
38%50%
MIBR Academy · 4 mapsedge GUARA +12%GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR Academy remove Inferno
2. BanGUARA remove Dust2
3. PickMIBR Academy take Nuke
4. PickGUARA take Default
5. BanGUARA remove Ancient
6. BanMIBR Academy remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (55% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:1
MIBR Academy 77%GUARA 23%
The model gave 77% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
MIBR Academy 64%GUARA 36%
The model gave 64% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR Academy · 53%
Series resultMIBR Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2