BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 5 · BO5
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTeam hooch ban
50%67%
Team hooch · 0 mapsedge Team shoke +17%Team shoke · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%60%
Team hooch · 1 mapnearly even +0%Team shoke · 1 map
AnubisTeam hooch pick
40%50%
Team hooch · 1 mapedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 0 maps
Dust2Team shoke pick
50%40%
Team hooch · 0 mapsedge Team hooch +10%Team shoke · 1 map
InfernoTeam shoke ban
60%50%
Team hooch · 1 mapedge Team hooch +10%Team shoke · 0 maps
MirageTeam hooch pick
50%40%
Team hooch · 0 mapsedge Team hooch +10%Team shoke · 1 map
OverpassTeam shoke pick
50%60%
Team hooch · 0 mapsedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTeam hooch remove Ancient
2. BanTeam shoke remove Inferno
3. PickTeam hooch take Anubis
4. PickTeam shoke take Overpass
5. PickTeam hooch take Mirage
6. PickTeam shoke take Dust2
DeciderNuke (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed19:15
Team hooch 43%Team shoke 57%
The model gave 57% on Team shoke — the map was taken by Team hooch.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Team hooch 31%Team shoke 69%
The model gave 69% on Team shoke — the map was taken by Team hooch.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Team hooch 53%Team shoke 47%
The model gave 53% on Team hooch — the map was taken by Team shoke.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
Team hooch 57%Team shoke 43%
The model gave 57% on Team hooch — the map was taken by Team shoke.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Team hooch 60%Team shoke 40%
The model gave 60% on Team hooch — the map was taken by Team hooch.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam shoke · 50%
Series resultTeam hooch 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 5