?
arrow_backBack to match
XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemesis ban
57%50%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +7%Nemesis · 10 maps
NukeNemesis pick
50%77%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge Nemesis +27%Nemesis · 9 maps
InfernoEYEBALLERS ban
50%67%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge Nemesis +17%Nemesis · 8 maps
MirageEYEBALLERS ban
50%69%
EYEBALLERS · 0 mapsedge Nemesis +19%Nemesis · 9 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
60%45%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +15%Nemesis · 7 maps
OverpassEYEBALLERS pick
60%43%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +17%Nemesis · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
EYEBALLERS · 0 mapsedge Nemesis +17%Nemesis · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Inferno
2. BanNemesis remove Dust2
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Overpass
4. PickNemesis take Nuke
5. BanNemesis remove Ancient
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
EYEBALLERS 54%Nemesis 46%
The model gave 54% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
EYEBALLERS 36%Nemesis 64%
The model gave 64% on Nemesis — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Dust2prediction missed19:22
EYEBALLERS 64%Nemesis 36%
The model gave 64% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteEYEBALLERS · 59%
Series resultNemesis 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3