BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Aunkereloss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTeam Aunkere ban
50%60%
Team Aunkere · 0 mapsedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 1 map
AnubisTeam shoke ban
60%50%
Team Aunkere · 1 mapedge Team Aunkere +10%Team shoke · 0 maps
Dust2Team Aunkere ban
50%40%
Team Aunkere · 0 mapsedge Team Aunkere +10%Team shoke · 1 map
InfernoTeam Aunkere pick
40%50%
Team Aunkere · 1 mapedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 0 maps
NukeTeam shoke pick
40%50%
Team Aunkere · 1 mapedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 0 maps
OverpassTeam shoke ban
50%60%
Team Aunkere · 0 mapsedge Team shoke +10%Team shoke · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTeam Aunkere remove Dust2
2. BanTeam shoke remove Anubis
3. PickTeam Aunkere take Inferno
4. PickTeam shoke take Nuke
5. BanTeam shoke remove Overpass
6. BanTeam Aunkere remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
Team Aunkere 37%Team shoke 63%
The model gave 63% on Team shoke — the map was taken by Team shoke.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Team Aunkere 53%Team shoke 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Aunkere — the map was taken by Team Aunkere.
Nukeprediction correct13:16
Team Aunkere 40%Team shoke 60%
The model gave 60% on Team shoke — the map was taken by Team shoke.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam shoke · 50%
Series resultTeam shoke 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3