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XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG#27 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBIG pick
56%42%
BIG · 5 mapsedge BIG +14%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 8 maps
MirageNinjas in Pyjamas pick
42%56%
BIG · 8 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +14%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 maps
NukeBIG ban
43%70%
BIG · 3 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +27%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 6 maps
AnubisBIG ban
40%50%
BIG · 1 mapedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +10%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
50%33%
BIG · 2 mapsedge BIG +17%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 2 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
57%60%
BIG · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
38%50%
BIG · 4 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +12%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Nuke
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
3. PickBIG take Ancient
4. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Mirage
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
6. BanBIG remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
BIG 37%Ninjas in Pyjamas 63%
The model gave 63% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by BIG.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
BIG 50%Ninjas in Pyjamas 50%
The model gave 50% on BIG — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
BIG 64%Ninjas in Pyjamas 36%
The model gave 64% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 60%
Series resultBIG 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3