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CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sementes do Mal#245 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
QUINTESSÊNCIA#200 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
29%63%
Sementes do Mal · 3 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +34%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 4 maps
MirageSementes do Mal ban
33%43%
Sementes do Mal · 2 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
Dust2Sementes do Mal ban
40%71%
Sementes do Mal · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +31%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
DefaultQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%50%
Sementes do Mal · 2 mapsnearly even +0%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%60%
Sementes do Mal · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +20%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
AncientQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%40%
Sementes do Mal · 0 mapsedge Sementes do Mal +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
AnubisSementes do Mal pick
50%40%
Sementes do Mal · 0 mapsedge Sementes do Mal +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSementes do Mal remove Dust2
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Ancient
3. PickSementes do Mal take Anubis
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Cache
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Default
6. BanSementes do Mal remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Sementes do Mal 21%QUINTESSÊNCIA 79%
The model gave 79% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
Sementes do Mal 37%QUINTESSÊNCIA 63%
The model gave 63% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 59%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2