CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
GUARA#234 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
20%50%
GUARA · 6 mapsedge Procyon +30%Procyon · 6 maps
MirageProcyon pick
43%40%
GUARA · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Procyon · 6 maps
NukeProcyon ban
22%25%
GUARA · 5 mapsnearly even -3%Procyon · 4 maps
InfernoGUARA ban
29%50%
GUARA · 3 mapsedge Procyon +21%Procyon · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
GUARA · 2 mapsedge GUARA +17%Procyon · 2 maps
AncientProcyon ban
40%40%
GUARA · 1 mapnearly even +0%Procyon · 1 map
CacheGUARA pick
60%50%
GUARA · 1 mapedge GUARA +10%Procyon · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGUARA remove Dust2
2. BanProcyon remove Ancient
3. PickGUARA take Cache
4. PickProcyon take Mirage
5. BanProcyon remove Nuke
6. BanGUARA remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
GUARA 49%Procyon 51%
The model gave 51% on Procyon — the map was taken by GUARA.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
GUARA 26%Procyon 74%
The model gave 74% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
GUARA 20%Procyon 80%
The model gave 80% on Procyon — the map was taken by GUARA.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 63%
Series resultGUARA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3