KOKONISTER Akmola International Esports Cup 2026 Finals · BO5
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · win 3:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 2:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
80%60%
Omega · 11 mapsedge Omega +20%Rune Eaters · 16 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
45%52%
Omega · 7 mapsedge Rune Eaters +7%Rune Eaters · 17 maps
AncientOmega pick
62%44%
Omega · 9 mapsedge Omega +18%Rune Eaters · 14 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
44%25%
Omega · 5 mapsedge Omega +19%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
InfernoOmega ban
50%50%
Omega · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 8 maps
Overpasspossible decider
25%33%
Omega · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +8%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
DefaultRune Eaters pick
40%43%
Omega · 1 mapnearly even -3%Rune Eaters · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Inferno
2. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. PickOmega take Ancient
6. PickRune Eaters take Default
DeciderOverpass (25% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Omega 75%Rune Eaters 25%
The model gave 75% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
Omega 40%Rune Eaters 60%
The model gave 60% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Omega.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
Omega 73%Rune Eaters 27%
The model gave 73% on Omega — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Omega 64%Rune Eaters 36%
The model gave 64% on Omega — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
Omega 50%Rune Eaters 50%
The model gave 50% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 57%
Series resultOmega 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 5