Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Partizan#141 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sashi#91 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Sashi ban
50%29%
Partizan · 0 mapsedge Partizan +21%Sashi · 13 maps
NukePartizan ban
50%50%
Partizan · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Sashi · 12 maps
AncientSashi ban
50%50%
Partizan · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Sashi · 6 maps
InfernoSashi pick
40%80%
Partizan · 1 mapedge Sashi +40%Sashi · 6 maps
CachePartizan ban
50%70%
Partizan · 0 mapsedge Sashi +20%Sashi · 6 maps
AnubisPartizan pick
60%63%
Partizan · 1 mapnearly even -3%Sashi · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%67%
Partizan · 0 mapsedge Sashi +17%Sashi · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPartizan remove Cache
2. BanSashi remove Dust2
3. PickPartizan take Anubis
4. PickSashi take Inferno
5. BanSashi remove Ancient
6. BanPartizan remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
Partizan 73%Sashi 27%
The model gave 73% on Partizan — the map was taken by Sashi.
Cacheprediction correct3:13
Partizan 28%Sashi 72%
The model gave 72% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 81%
Series resultSashi 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2