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Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Phantom#87 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
56%60%
EYEBALLERS · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Phantom · 11 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
43%50%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge Phantom +7%Phantom · 12 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
50%59%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge Phantom +9%Phantom · 13 maps
MirageEYEBALLERS ban
33%43%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge Phantom +10%Phantom · 10 maps
OverpassEYEBALLERS pick
60%67%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge Phantom +7%Phantom · 8 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
60%57%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapnearly even +3%Phantom · 3 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
57%60%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Phantom · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
2. BanPhantom remove Anubis
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Overpass
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Inferno
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
EYEBALLERS 42%Phantom 58%
The model gave 58% on Phantom — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Infernoprediction missed17:19
EYEBALLERS 50%Phantom 50%
The model gave 50% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by Phantom.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
EYEBALLERS 53%Phantom 47%
The model gave 53% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteEYEBALLERS · 59%
Series resultEYEBALLERS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3