Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OG#203 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeEcho pick
75%38%
Echo · 8 mapsedge Echo +37%OG · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
40%60%
Echo · 6 mapsedge OG +20%OG · 6 maps
AncientOG ban
60%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +10%OG · 2 maps
MirageEcho ban
50%50%
Echo · 4 mapsnearly even +0%OG · 2 maps
AnubisOG ban
56%50%
Echo · 5 mapsedge Echo +6%OG · 0 maps
InfernoOG pick
29%67%
Echo · 3 mapsedge OG +38%OG · 2 maps
Dust2Echo ban
50%63%
Echo · 0 mapsedge OG +13%OG · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Dust2
2. BanOG remove Anubis
3. PickEcho take Nuke
4. PickOG take Inferno
5. BanOG remove Ancient
6. BanEcho remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Echo 47%OG 53%
The model gave 53% on OG — the map was taken by Echo.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Echo 85%OG 15%
The model gave 85% on Echo — the map was taken by OG.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Echo 50%OG 50%
The model gave 50% on Echo — the map was taken by Echo.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 65%
Series resultEcho 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3