Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
ARCRED#121 in the worldseries probability
51%49%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Endless Journey#154 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageARCRED ban
30%56%
ARCRED · 6 mapsedge Endless Journey +26%Endless Journey · 12 maps
Dust2Endless Journey pick
64%71%
ARCRED · 7 mapsedge Endless Journey +7%Endless Journey · 10 maps
AncientEndless Journey ban
20%33%
ARCRED · 6 mapsedge Endless Journey +13%Endless Journey · 5 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
73%38%
ARCRED · 7 mapsedge ARCRED +35%Endless Journey · 4 maps
NukeARCRED ban
43%55%
ARCRED · 3 mapsedge Endless Journey +12%Endless Journey · 7 maps
InfernoARCRED pick
67%40%
ARCRED · 2 mapsedge ARCRED +27%Endless Journey · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%56%
ARCRED · 2 mapsedge Endless Journey +6%Endless Journey · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanARCRED remove Nuke
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickARCRED take Inferno
4. PickEndless Journey take Dust2
5. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
6. BanARCRED remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 56%)