CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#103 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
megoshort#179 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientmegoshort pick
39%62%
Permitta · 14 mapsedge megoshort +23%megoshort · 9 maps
MiragePermitta ban
60%46%
Permitta · 11 mapsedge Permitta +14%megoshort · 9 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
48%50%
Permitta · 19 mapsnearly even -2%megoshort · 0 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
30%50%
Permitta · 6 mapsedge megoshort +20%megoshort · 8 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
46%57%
Permitta · 9 mapsedge megoshort +11%megoshort · 3 maps
CachePermitta pick
64%63%
Permitta · 7 mapsnearly even +1%megoshort · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%33%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +5%megoshort · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Dust2
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickPermitta take Cache
4. Pickmegoshort take Ancient
5. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
6. BanPermitta remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (38% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Permitta 55%megoshort 45%
The model gave 55% on Permitta — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 62%
Series resultmegoshort 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1