CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
73%42%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +31%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
53%50%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%42%
Spirit Academy · 10 mapsedge Spirit Academy +8%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
45%73%
Spirit Academy · 7 mapsedge Phantom Academy +28%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
NukePhantom Academy pick
36%55%
Spirit Academy · 10 mapsedge Phantom Academy +19%Phantom Academy · 7 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
71%43%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +28%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
50%43%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +7%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickPhantom Academy take Nuke
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
DeciderCache (50% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Spirit Academy 81%Phantom Academy 19%
The model gave 81% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
Spirit Academy 29%Phantom Academy 71%
The model gave 71% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 62%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2