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CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNoir Verse ban
60%53%
BIG Academy · 6 mapsedge BIG Academy +7%Noir Verse · 13 maps
Dust2Noir Verse ban
43%45%
BIG Academy · 3 mapsnearly even -2%Noir Verse · 16 maps
AnubisBIG Academy ban
50%42%
BIG Academy · 2 mapsedge BIG Academy +8%Noir Verse · 15 maps
CacheBIG Academy pick
57%50%
BIG Academy · 3 mapsedge BIG Academy +7%Noir Verse · 14 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
50%63%
BIG Academy · 2 mapsedge Noir Verse +13%Noir Verse · 15 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%31%
BIG Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +2%Noir Verse · 9 maps
NukeBIG Academy ban
50%36%
BIG Academy · 0 mapsedge BIG Academy +14%Noir Verse · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
2. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
3. PickBIG Academy take Cache
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Dust2
6. BanBIG Academy remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (33% / 31%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct3:13
BIG Academy 34%Noir Verse 66%
The model gave 66% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
BIG Academy 60%Noir Verse 40%
The model gave 60% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by BIG Academy.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
BIG Academy 48%Noir Verse 52%
The model gave 52% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 64%
Series resultNoir Verse 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3