CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSaint Sinners ban
75%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 24 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +35%Saint Sinners · 1 map
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
64%63%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 21 mapnearly even +1%Saint Sinners · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
64%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 18 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +24%Saint Sinners · 6 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity pick
63%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +23%Saint Sinners · 1 map
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
47%44%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Saint Sinners · 5 maps
Defaultex-Zero Tenacity ban
54%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Saint Sinners · 6 maps
AnubisSaint Sinners ban
62%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%Saint Sinners · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Inferno
4. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Anubis
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Default
DeciderNuke (64% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
ex-Zero Tenacity 57%Saint Sinners 43%
The model gave 57% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
ex-Zero Tenacity 49%Saint Sinners 51%
The model gave 51% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 65%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2