CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
KUUSAMO#177 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2KUUSAMO ban
38%50%
KUUSAMO · 4 mapsedge Noir Verse +12%Noir Verse · 18 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
50%65%
KUUSAMO · 4 mapsedge Noir Verse +15%Noir Verse · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
29%50%
KUUSAMO · 3 mapsedge Noir Verse +21%Noir Verse · 14 maps
CacheNoir Verse ban
57%50%
KUUSAMO · 3 mapsedge KUUSAMO +7%Noir Verse · 14 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
69%42%
KUUSAMO · 9 mapsedge KUUSAMO +27%Noir Verse · 8 maps
AnubisKUUSAMO ban
50%42%
KUUSAMO · 0 mapsedge KUUSAMO +8%Noir Verse · 15 maps
DefaultKUUSAMO pick
60%31%
KUUSAMO · 1 mapedge KUUSAMO +29%Noir Verse · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKUUSAMO remove Anubis
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickKUUSAMO take Default
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Cache
6. BanKUUSAMO remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (29% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
KUUSAMO 32%Noir Verse 68%
The model gave 68% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
KUUSAMO 78%Noir Verse 22%
The model gave 78% on KUUSAMO — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 57%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2