CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
MASONIC#187 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheEnjoy pick
33%61%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +28%Enjoy · 14 maps
MirageEnjoy ban
60%47%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge MASONIC +13%Enjoy · 13 maps
Dust2MASONIC ban
50%47%
MASONIC · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Enjoy · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
33%50%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge Enjoy +17%Enjoy · 6 maps
InfernoMASONIC pick
50%25%
MASONIC · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +25%Enjoy · 8 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
43%38%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge MASONIC +5%Enjoy · 4 maps
DefaultMASONIC ban
50%71%
MASONIC · 0 mapsedge Enjoy +21%Enjoy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASONIC remove Dust2
2. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
3. PickMASONIC take Inferno
4. PickEnjoy take Cache
5. BanEnjoy remove Mirage
6. BanMASONIC remove Default
DeciderAncient (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct19:17
MASONIC 56%Enjoy 44%
The model gave 56% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
MASONIC 60%Enjoy 40%
The model gave 60% on MASONIC — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Cacheprediction missed25:22
MASONIC 24%Enjoy 76%
The model gave 76% on Enjoy — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 54%
Series resultMASONIC 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3