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CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Butterfly#127 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeButterfly ban
58%54%
Butterfly · 15 mapsnearly even +4%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
AncientButterfly pick
59%43%
Butterfly · 13 mapsedge Butterfly +16%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
MiragePhantom Academy pick
71%65%
Butterfly · 10 mapsedge Butterfly +6%Phantom Academy · 13 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
63%50%
Butterfly · 12 mapsedge Butterfly +13%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
63%38%
Butterfly · 4 mapsedge Butterfly +25%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
InfernoButterfly ban
19%50%
Butterfly · 12 mapsedge Phantom Academy +31%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
63%50%
Butterfly · 4 mapsedge Butterfly +13%Phantom Academy · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanButterfly remove Inferno
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
3. PickButterfly take Ancient
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
6. BanButterfly remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
Butterfly 51%Phantom Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Butterfly 65%Phantom Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on Butterfly — the map was taken by Butterfly.
Model check result
Model favoriteButterfly · 65%
Series resultButterfly 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2