CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
56%43%
ex-RUSTEC · 41 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +13%BERG · 3 maps
NukeBERG ban
52%20%
ex-RUSTEC · 29 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +32%BERG · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%25%
ex-RUSTEC · 18 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +25%BERG · 8 maps
AnubisBERG ban
64%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 24 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +24%BERG · 1 map
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
44%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 14 mapsnearly even +4%BERG · 6 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
63%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 4 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%BERG · 14 maps
CacheBERG pick
47%60%
ex-RUSTEC · 13 mapsedge BERG +13%BERG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanBERG remove Anubis
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickBERG take Cache
5. BanBERG remove Nuke
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (50% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
ex-RUSTEC 52%BERG 48%
The model gave 52% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
ex-RUSTEC 83%BERG 17%
The model gave 83% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 71%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2