CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
PCIFIC#135 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
60%45%
PCIFIC · 21 mapedge PCIFIC +15%Nexus · 7 maps
AnubisNexus pick
31%54%
PCIFIC · 9 mapsedge Nexus +23%Nexus · 9 maps
NukeNexus ban
43%40%
PCIFIC · 17 mapsnearly even +3%Nexus · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
60%45%
PCIFIC · 6 mapsedge PCIFIC +15%Nexus · 7 maps
InfernoNexus ban
46%38%
PCIFIC · 9 mapsedge PCIFIC +8%Nexus · 4 maps
MiragePCIFIC ban
50%63%
PCIFIC · 8 mapsedge Nexus +13%Nexus · 4 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
50%67%
PCIFIC · 0 mapsedge Nexus +17%Nexus · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
2. BanNexus remove Nuke
3. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
4. PickNexus take Anubis
5. BanNexus remove Inferno
6. BanPCIFIC remove Mirage
DeciderCache (60% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed0:13
PCIFIC 67%Nexus 33%
The model gave 67% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by Nexus.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
PCIFIC 25%Nexus 75%
The model gave 75% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoritePCIFIC · 53%
Series resultNexus 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2