CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
63%76%
EAC · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 25 maps
MirageEAC pick
50%50%
EAC · 22 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%64%
EAC · 10 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 18 maps
InfernoEAC ban
38%63%
EAC · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%62%
EAC · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Dust2EAC ban
50%65%
EAC · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 22 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
59%50%
EAC · 18 mapsedge EAC +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickEAC take Mirage
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanEAC remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
EAC 24%ex-Zero Tenacity 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
EAC 53%ex-Zero Tenacity 47%
The model gave 53% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
EAC 36%ex-Zero Tenacity 64%
The model gave 64% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 67%
Series resultEAC 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3