CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNoir Verse pick
50%64%
EAC · 24 mapsedge Noir Verse +14%Noir Verse · 18 maps
AncientEAC pick
59%50%
EAC · 18 mapsedge EAC +9%Noir Verse · 14 maps
AnubisEAC ban
47%45%
EAC · 15 mapsnearly even +2%Noir Verse · 16 maps
CacheNoir Verse ban
63%50%
EAC · 12 mapsedge EAC +13%Noir Verse · 14 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
53%50%
EAC · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Noir Verse · 10 maps
Dust2EAC ban
50%50%
EAC · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 18 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%40%
EAC · 3 mapsedge EAC +17%Noir Verse · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickEAC take Ancient
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Cache
6. BanEAC remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
EAC 67%Noir Verse 33%
The model gave 67% on EAC — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 65%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1