CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
MASONIC#187 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePhantom Academy pick
43%70%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +27%Phantom Academy · 16 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
38%36%
MASONIC · 4 mapsnearly even +2%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
NukeMASONIC pick
43%53%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +10%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
AncientMASONIC ban
33%47%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge Phantom Academy +14%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
Dust2MASONIC ban
43%43%
MASONIC · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%44%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge MASONIC +16%Phantom Academy · 5 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
60%43%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge MASONIC +17%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASONIC remove Dust2
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. PickMASONIC take Nuke
4. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
6. BanMASONIC remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
MASONIC 65%Phantom Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
MASONIC 55%Phantom Academy 45%
The model gave 55% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 55%
Series resultMASONIC 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2