CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEAC pick
52%36%
EAC · 25 mapsedge EAC +16%Lavked · 21 map
Ancientpossible decider
59%38%
EAC · 18 mapsedge EAC +21%Lavked · 17 maps
NukeEAC ban
50%48%
EAC · 12 mapsnearly even +2%Lavked · 17 maps
AnubisLavked pick
47%50%
EAC · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Lavked · 10 maps
Dust2EAC ban
50%54%
EAC · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Lavked · 24 maps
InfernoLavked ban
33%36%
EAC · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Lavked · 7 maps
CacheLavked ban
63%40%
EAC · 12 mapsedge EAC +23%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. BanLavked remove Cache
3. PickEAC take Mirage
4. PickLavked take Anubis
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanEAC remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (59% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
EAC 49%Lavked 51%
The model gave 51% on Lavked — the map was taken by EAC.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
EAC 68%Lavked 32%
The model gave 68% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 71%
Series resultEAC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2