CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
MASONIC#187 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
44%73%
MASONIC · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +29%ex-Zero Tenacity · 26 maps
Dust2MASONIC ban
43%67%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +24%ex-Zero Tenacity · 23 maps
NukeMASONIC pick
43%58%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 20 maps
InfernoMASONIC ban
50%67%
MASONIC · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
43%50%
MASONIC · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%57%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge MASONIC +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%62%
MASONIC · 1 mapnearly even -2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASONIC remove Dust2
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
3. PickMASONIC take Nuke
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanMASONIC remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
MASONIC 38%ex-Zero Tenacity 62%
The model gave 62% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
MASONIC 25%ex-Zero Tenacity 75%
The model gave 75% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
MASONIC 23%ex-Zero Tenacity 77%
The model gave 77% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 82%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3