CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Acend#125 in the world · win 2:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
33%74%
Acend · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +41%ex-Zero Tenacity · 27 maps
Dust2Acend ban
42%68%
Acend · 8 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +26%ex-Zero Tenacity · 24 maps
InfernoAcend pick
60%67%
Acend · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 maps
NukeAcend ban
50%56%
Acend · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 21 map
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
44%50%
Acend · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
38%62%
Acend · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +24%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%57%
Acend · 1 mapnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAcend remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
3. PickAcend take Inferno
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanAcend remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
Acend 13%ex-Zero Tenacity 87%
The model gave 87% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
Acend 46%ex-Zero Tenacity 54%
The model gave 54% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Acend.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Acend 25%ex-Zero Tenacity 75%
The model gave 75% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Acend.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 68%
Series resultAcend 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3