CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nexus#159 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
59%50%
CYBERSHOKE · 18 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +9%Nexus · 10 maps
AncientNexus pick
52%67%
CYBERSHOKE · 17 mapsedge Nexus +15%Nexus · 5 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
30%60%
CYBERSHOKE · 6 mapsedge Nexus +30%Nexus · 11 maps
MirageNexus ban
58%56%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsnearly even +2%Nexus · 5 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
67%45%
CYBERSHOKE · 5 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +22%Nexus · 7 maps
NukeNexus ban
50%40%
CYBERSHOKE · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +10%Nexus · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
67%71%
CYBERSHOKE · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Nexus · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
2. BanNexus remove Nuke
3. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
4. PickNexus take Ancient
5. BanNexus remove Mirage
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
DeciderDefault (67% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
CYBERSHOKE 44%Nexus 56%
The model gave 56% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 63%
Series resultNexus 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1