CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Acend#125 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
46%50%
Acend · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Nexus · 10 maps
InfernoNexus ban
63%44%
Acend · 12 mapsedge Acend +19%Nexus · 5 maps
AnubisAcend ban
38%60%
Acend · 4 mapsedge Nexus +22%Nexus · 11 maps
CacheAcend ban
27%45%
Acend · 7 mapsedge Nexus +18%Nexus · 7 maps
AncientAcend pick
60%67%
Acend · 6 mapsedge Nexus +7%Nexus · 5 maps
MirageNexus ban
40%56%
Acend · 6 mapsedge Nexus +16%Nexus · 5 maps
DefaultNexus pick
60%75%
Acend · 1 mapedge Nexus +15%Nexus · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAcend remove Anubis
2. BanNexus remove Inferno
3. PickAcend take Ancient
4. PickNexus take Default
5. BanNexus remove Mirage
6. BanAcend remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (46% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
Acend 29%Nexus 71%
The model gave 71% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Acend 49%Nexus 51%
The model gave 51% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoriteAcend · 55%
Series resultNexus 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2