ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
eSuba#293 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
6666#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoeSuba pick
63%15%
eSuba · 4 mapsedge eSuba +48%6666 · 9 maps
Ancient6666 pick
44%60%
eSuba · 5 mapsedge 6666 +16%6666 · 6 maps
Anubis6666 ban
30%44%
eSuba · 6 mapsedge 6666 +14%6666 · 5 maps
Dust2eSuba ban
22%43%
eSuba · 5 mapsedge 6666 +21%6666 · 3 maps
Nuke6666 ban
43%33%
eSuba · 3 mapsedge eSuba +10%6666 · 2 maps
MirageeSuba ban
60%50%
eSuba · 1 mapedge eSuba +10%6666 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BaneSuba remove Mirage
2. Ban6666 remove Nuke
3. PickeSuba take Inferno
4. Pick6666 take Ancient
5. Ban6666 remove Anubis
6. BaneSuba remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
eSuba 30%6666 70%
The model gave 70% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
eSuba 32%6666 68%
The model gave 68% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 75%
Series result6666 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2