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Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Sashi#39 in the world
series probability
66%34%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Vexar#126 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVexar pick
45%48%
Sashi · 7 mapsnearly even -3%Vexar · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%43%
Sashi · 10 mapsedge Sashi +14%Vexar · 10 maps
Dust2Sashi ban
44%50%
Sashi · 12 mapsedge Vexar +6%Vexar · 4 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%57%
Sashi · 1 mapedge Vexar +17%Vexar · 10 maps
AnubisVexar ban
67%33%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +34%Vexar · 5 maps
CacheVexar ban
62%50%
Sashi · 9 mapsedge Sashi +12%Vexar · 0 maps
InfernoSashi pick
75%67%
Sashi · 4 mapsedge Sashi +8%Vexar · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanVexar remove Cache
3. PickSashi take Inferno
4. PickVexar take Ancient
5. BanVexar remove Anubis
6. BanSashi remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (57% / 43%)