CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Red Feet#222 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Red Feet ban
68%38%
Yawara · 15 mapsedge Yawara +30%Red Feet · 4 maps
MirageYawara pick
69%50%
Yawara · 12 mapsedge Yawara +19%Red Feet · 4 maps
AncientYawara ban
36%40%
Yawara · 10 mapsnearly even -4%Red Feet · 1 map
InfernoRed Feet pick
50%75%
Yawara · 6 mapsedge Red Feet +25%Red Feet · 4 maps
AnubisYawara ban
44%50%
Yawara · 5 mapsedge Red Feet +6%Red Feet · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Yawara · 1 mapnearly even +0%Red Feet · 1 map
OverpassRed Feet ban
67%50%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge Yawara +17%Red Feet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Anubis
2. BanRed Feet remove Dust2
3. PickYawara take Mirage
4. PickRed Feet take Inferno
5. BanRed Feet remove Overpass
6. BanYawara remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Yawara 71%Red Feet 29%
The model gave 71% on Yawara — the map was taken by Yawara.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Yawara 42%Red Feet 58%
The model gave 58% on Red Feet — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteYawara · 66%
Series resultYawara 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2